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Gold Breaks $3,000: What Does This Mean for Bitcoin?

Gold Breaks $3,000: What Does This Mean for Bitcoin?

While the crypto market sometimes resembles a rollercoaster, gold is showing an impressive, steady increase. Friday marked a historic day: for the first time in history, the gold price reached the psychological barrier of $3,000 per troy ounce (31.1 grams). But what does this golden triumph mean for Bitcoin?

Gold Reaches Record High

The gold price rose above $3,000 on Friday, a milestone that had long been predicted. This increase is driven by several factors, including geopolitical uncertainty, economic volatility in the US, and recent US inflation figures. Favourable inflation figures fuel speculation about potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which historically benefits gold.

Bitcoin's Volatility Versus Gold's Stability

Bitcoin, often described as "digital gold", exhibits a very different behaviour. While gold shows a steady upward trend, Bitcoin continues to struggle with significant volatility. This is partly due to macroeconomic factors and the fluctuating interest in Bitcoin ETFs.
Peter Schiff, a well-known gold advocate and Bitcoin critic, noted that the negative correlation between Bitcoin and gold demonstrates that Bitcoin cannot be considered "digital gold". He views Bitcoin more as a "digital equity investment". Yet, it's interesting that even Schiff acknowledges that Bitcoin functions to some extent as a store of value and that a small allocation in a portfolio may not be a bad idea. It's also undeniable that the cryptocurrency has shown impressive growth in recent years.

Future Outlook: Gold Remains Optimistic

Analysts are optimistic about the continued rise of the gold price. Macquarie Bank increased its forecast for Q3 2025 to $3,150 per ounce, with a potential maximum of $3,500 in an inflation-adjusted scenario. BNP Paribas also predicts that gold will rise above $3,100 in Q2 2024.

The big question remains: can Bitcoin ever achieve the same safe-haven status? While gold maintains its traditional role, Bitcoin remains a dynamic investment. While everyone agrees that gold will always retain its value, predictions for Bitcoin's future continue to diverge.